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Thursday, April 13, 2017

Review: The Next America

Title: The Next America: Boomers, Millennials, and the Looming Generational Showdown

By: Paul Taylor and the Pew Research Center

Dense in statistics and broad in scope I would highly recommend this book to anyone interested in a closer look at what makes America, culturally speaking, and a glimpse at what the future may hold for entitlement programs. This book is, at its heart, concerned with the the imminent problems of Social Security and Medicare in a nation with an aging population where the financial math is quickly reaching a crisis point.

To understand the problems and potential solutions this text looks at America's changing demographics broken down into the primary 4 generations currently living. The first is the Silents (born 1928-1945) who are currently the most senior generation at age 72+ and are currently benefiting from our entitlement programs. Next, and largest, is the Baby Boomers (born 1946-1964) who have just started leaving the work force en mass and drawing off of Social Security making the financial woes of the system all the more apparent. The smallest generation is the Gen Xers (born 1965-1980) who bridge the gap to the next generational powerhouse. The Millennials (born 1981-?) rival the Baby Boomers in size and are significantly different politically and socially from the generations who have come before. The author spends the most time contrasting the Boomers and Millennials as these two generations hold the greatest sway from sheer size alone.

Within this generational framework the text examines multiple aspects of America. In addition to general political leanings the author spends a chapter each on the financial circumstances, race/ethnic composition, views on marriage, religion, and technological adaptability of the various generations. The author also takes the time to compare America as a whole to several of our international neighbors, showing how some countries are fairing better than others but how all seem to be making their way towards much more senior populations and the consequences of this demographic shift.

All of this is brought around to conclusion with the question "how best to honor our commitments to the old without bankrupting the young and starving the future?" (pg. 194) The author provides only a general outline of how this should be done as the details of policy reform would no doubt take twice as many pages as it took to outline the problem to begin with.

Written in 2014 this book is a bit dated but the heart of the research and conclusions it draws still ring true. President Obama, despite effort, was unable to make significant headway towards resolving the problems. Now, with Donald Trump sitting in the White House, it seems even less likely for the nation to make progress towards resolving our looming Social Security and Medicare budget issues in the next few years. Hopefully the next president will be up for taking on the task. And hopefully by then it won't be too late to save these essential programs.

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